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02-17-2011, 11:39 AM
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch analysts said Thursday that some regional bank shares have gained too much on takeover speculation. "The banking industry is in the early stages of a material consolidation cycle, and takeout potential should be a factor for consideration in stock selection," L. Erika Penala and colleagues at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, wrote in a note to investors. "However, we believe our quantitative analysis suggests that actual upside in a deal (11% at median) is more modest than current investor sentiment believes." The banks whose stocks already appear to be fully reflecting potential takeovervalue are Synovus Financial , Associated Banc-Corp and Bank of Hawaii , the analysts said. They downgraded Synovus to underperform from buy. The analysts also cut Huntington Bancshares to neutral from buy. This bank is likely to be an acquirer rather than a takeover target. But the increase in valuations of potential targets means Huntington may make less profit from deals, the Merrill analysts said. Synovus shares fell 4.8% to $2.76 in morning action Thursday, while Huntington declined 2.6% to $7.34.

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